Reliance Industries Ltd. (RELIANCE)
Energy
Reduce / Avoid
Reliance Industries Ltd. (RELIANCE, Energy) last closed at ₹1302.90 and is down 3.5% over the past 3 months (down 8.6% over 1 year). Downtrend — trading below both its 50-day and 200-day averages. Annualized volatility is 20.7%, against a trailing CAGR of -4.4%. Extending the recent trend line, the model projects roughly down 12.2% over the next ~6 months if the pattern holds. Composite score 31/100 → Reduce / Avoid. This is a trend read on historical prices, not a guarantee.
Last close
₹1302.90
1-month change
+1.8%
3-month change
-3.5%
1-year change
-8.6%
Trailing CAGR
-4.4%
Annualized volatility
+20.7%
50-day average
₹1306.13
200-day average
₹1397.72
~6-month projection
-12.2%
Composite score
31/100
Future potential
What could move RELIANCE from here — general strategic context plus signals from the price trend above.
Could push the price up
- Jio 5G monetization and further tariff hikes lifting telecom ARPU
- Reliance Retail's store and quick-commerce (JioMart) expansion
- New Energy giga-factories (solar, green hydrogen, batteries) coming online
- Potential value unlocking from Jio Financial Services / Retail stake sales
Could weigh the price down
- Heavy new-energy capex could pressure near-term free cash flow
- Crude oil price swings affecting the refining & petrochemicals (O2C) business
- Regulatory or tariff intervention in telecom pricing
- Elevated debt load from the ongoing capex cycle
- Trading below both its 50- and 200-day averages — a bearish technical backdrop until reclaimed.
- Trailing CAGR is negative (-4.4%) — the multi-year trend has been a drag, not a tailwind.
General strategic context based on the company's known business profile — not real-time news or analyst commentary. Always check the company's latest announcements before investing.
Recent closes
| Date | Close | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | ₹1348.10 | 23,266,517 |
| 2026-03-25 | ₹1413.10 | 19,041,331 |
| 2026-03-24 | ₹1411.80 | 18,620,893 |
| 2026-03-23 | ₹1407.80 | 18,979,554 |
| 2026-03-20 | ₹1414.40 | 22,994,918 |
| 2026-03-19 | ₹1384.80 | 16,498,373 |
| 2026-03-18 | ₹1408.10 | 9,559,327 |
| 2026-03-17 | ₹1397.60 | 19,007,744 |
| 2026-03-16 | ₹1395.10 | 22,837,802 |
| 2026-03-13 | ₹1380.70 | 17,265,090 |
| 2026-03-12 | ₹1392.20 | 20,939,959 |
| 2026-03-11 | ₹1390.20 | 21,848,087 |
| 2026-03-10 | ₹1408.80 | 18,071,259 |
| 2026-03-09 | ₹1424.00 | 24,870,822 |
| 2026-03-06 | ₹1404.80 | 19,311,971 |
This is a trend read on historical prices (momentum, moving averages, volatility, a linear projection of the recent trend) — not a guarantee of future performance. Educational analysis, not financial advice.